Dr Magnus Moglia

Principal Research Scientist

Contact details:

  • +61395452376


Magnus is a Principal Research Scientist at CSIRO and an Adjunct Associate Professor at Swinburne University. His recent research includes futures studies and complex adaptive systems modelling, with a particular focus on socio-technical transitions and transformations. Application areas include urban water management, resource efficiency, urban governance and decarbonisation pathways.

Magnus has been a staff member at the CSIRO since 2001. He grew up in Sweden where he studied Physics and Applied Mathematics at the Royal Institute of Technology. He completed a PhD in Environment from the Australian National University’s Crawford School of Public Policy. In his PhD, he applied complex adaptive systems modelling and thinking to the topic of urban water management, and with field studies in Kiribati.

Magnus has over 18 years experience in urban research, much of that time in the urban water sector, including on pipeline asset management, demand forecasting and management, and the integrated evaluation of alternative supply technologies such as rainwater harvesting.

Magnus combines quantitative methods, such as Agent-Based Modelling and GLMs, as well as qualitative research approaches, such as interviews, strategic foresight and participatory methods.

Keywords: Urban transformation; Urban resilience; Sustainable urban systems; Integrated urban water management; Resource efficiency; Futures and forecasting; Sustainable Cities; Urban water management; Urban climate adaptation; Water pipe failure prediction; Agent-Based Modelling; Bayesian Networks; Participatory methods; Pipeline asset management; Scenario Planning; Decision making under uncertainty

Current Roles

  • Project Leader & Agent Based Modeller
    LCL CRC. RP3028. A “virtual market” for analysing residential housing and business policy interventions (Low Carbon Living CRC and OEH NSW)

  • Project Leader and Researcher
    LCL CRC. SP0018. Utilisation of Energy Efficiency Policy Adoption Diffusion Modelling

  • Project Leader & Agent Based Modeller
    LCL CRC. RP3035. Modelling the uptake of water conservation and efficiency measures in Sydney (Low Carbon Living CRC and Sydney Water)

  • Project Leader, Statistician & Modeller
    Uptake of agricultural innovation by smallholder farmers in Laos (JCU and ACIAR)

  • Science Leader & Futurist
    Strategic Conversations on the Future of Cities. Various contracts.

Academic Qualifications

  • 2000

    BSc/MSc Engineering Physics/Mathematical Statistics
    Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden

  • 2010

    PhD Environmental and Resource Management
    The Australian National University, Crawford School

Professional Experiences

  • 2018-Now

    Principal Research Scientist

  • 2019-2019

    Team leader

  • 2018-Now

    Adjunct Associate Professor
    Swinburne University

  • 2011-2018

    Senior Research Scientist

  • 2013-2016

    Team Leader

  • 2011-2013

    Senior Research Scientist

  • 2008-2011

    Research scientist

  • 2001-2008

    Research Projects Officer

  • 1999-2000

    Research project
    Bofors Weapon Systems

  • 1998-1999

    Class lecturer
    Stockholm University and KTH

Achievements and Awards

  • 2015-2015

    Award for Smart Water Fund project leadership
    CSIRO Land and Water

  • 2015-2015

    Award for scientific leadership on exploring the future of cities
    CSIRO Land and Water

  • 2005-2005

    Award for leading the development of the PARMS-PRIORITY system
    CSIRO Manufacturing and Infrastructure Technology

Community and Corporate Citizenship

  • 2010-2017

    Science in Schools

  • 2005-2010

    First Aid Officer, CSIRO


We have publications by Dr Magnus Moglia